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Tropical Storm PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.4N  56.9W      45  X  X  X 45   TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  5  5 11
17.5N  57.8W      23  4  1  X 28   TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  4  7 12
18.7N  58.7W       3 15  2  2 22   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  5  6
TBPB 131N 595W     X  2  1  1  4   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  6  7
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  1  1  2   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  3  3
TLPL 138N 610W     X  1  2  1  4   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  4  4
TFFF 146N 610W     X  3  2  3  8   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  5  6
TDPR 153N 614W     X  3  3  3  9   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  6  7
80400 157N 636W    X  X  2  3  5   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  4  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  4  5  3 12   PONCE PR           X  X  X  3  3
TAPA 171N 618W     X  3  6  4 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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