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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.2N  76.7W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      2 10  4  2 18
31.5N  77.2W      74  X  X  X 74   MOREHEAD CITY NC   1  8  4  3 16
31.7N  77.9W      52  X  X  X 52   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  4  4  3 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  1  3  4  8
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  3  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  2  3  5 10   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  4  5
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  5  6   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  3  5  8
MIAMI FL           X  X  4  4  8   FT MYERS FL        X  X  4  5  9
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2  5  4 11   VENICE FL          X  X  3  6  9
FT PIERCE FL       X  4  6  4 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  4  6 10
COCOA BEACH FL     X  5  6  4 15   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  3  7 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  5  6  5 16   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  6  6
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  2  6  6 14   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  2  7  6 15   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      2  6  6  4 18   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    4  8  4  3 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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