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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP  9 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.7N  79.2W      99  X  X  X 99   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
28.1N  79.6W      49  X  X  X 49   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
28.7N  80.2W      31  X  1  X 32   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  2  2  4  9
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        2  3  3  3 11
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   VENICE FL          1  4  3  4 12
MYAK 241N 776W     X  1  X  3  4   TAMPA FL           3  6  3  3 15
MYNN 251N 775W     3  2  1  3  9   CEDAR KEY FL       2  7  4  3 16
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   ST MARKS FL        X  4  5  5 14
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  4  5   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  5  6 12
MIAMI FL           8  2  1  2 13   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  3  7 11
W PALM BEACH FL   28  1  X  X 29   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  6  7
FT PIERCE FL      32  1  X  X 33   MOBILE AL          X  X  1  4  5
COCOA BEACH FL    28  1  X  X 29   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL  17  4  1  1 23   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    4  9  4  2 19   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  4  6  4 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  1  4  6 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  4  5 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  5  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  5  6   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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