Hurricane KATRINA
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HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.8N 88.3W 43 X X X 43 NEW ORLEANS LA X 9 11 1 21
27.5N 89.6W 14 15 X X 29 NEW IBERIA LA X 6 12 2 20
29.6N 90.0W X 14 7 1 22 PORT ARTHUR TX X 1 10 4 15
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X 1 8 3 12
SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X 1 6 3 10
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 3 3 6
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 2 3
CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 29N 85W X 3 4 3 10
ST MARKS FL X X 3 5 8 GULF 29N 87W 2 10 4 1 17
APALACHICOLA FL X 1 5 4 10 GULF 28N 89W 11 15 1 X 27
PANAMA CITY FL X 2 6 4 12 GULF 28N 91W 2 21 2 X 25
PENSACOLA FL X 3 9 4 16 GULF 28N 93W X 11 5 1 17
MOBILE AL X 4 11 3 18 GULF 28N 95W X 2 5 2 9
GULFPORT MS X 6 11 3 20 GULF 27N 96W X X 2 2 4
BURAS LA 1 15 6 1 23
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
C FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
D FROM 1PM MON TO 1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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