Tropical Storm ARLENE
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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON JUN 13 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.4N 87.3W 44 X X X 44 GULFPORT MS 28 4 X X 32
32.6N 87.9W 15 17 X X 32 BURAS LA 20 4 X X 24
35.5N 87.5W X 12 13 X 25 NEW ORLEANS LA 11 7 X X 18
CEDAR KEY FL 2 X X X 2 NEW IBERIA LA 1 3 2 X 6
ST MARKS FL 12 1 1 X 14 GULF 29N 85W 46 X X X 46
APALACHICOLA FL 34 X X X 34 GULF 29N 87W 57 X X X 57
PANAMA CITY FL 40 X X X 40 GULF 28N 89W 19 1 X X 20
PENSACOLA FL 43 X X X 43 GULF 28N 91W 1 2 X X 3
MOBILE AL 37 2 X X 39
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
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