Tropical Storm ARLENE
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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON JUN 13 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.2N 87.2W 42 1 X X 43 MOBILE AL X 17 7 1 25
28.5N 88.3W 5 26 X X 31 GULFPORT MS X 20 6 X 26
31.0N 88.8W X 15 9 1 25 BURAS LA X 24 3 X 27
MUSN 216N 826W 2 X X X 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X 18 5 1 24
MUAN 219N 850W 99 X X X 99 NEW IBERIA LA X 7 8 1 16
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 3 3 6
SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X 1 2 3
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X 7 4 1 12
CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 87W 1 22 2 X 25
ST MARKS FL X 1 4 3 8 GULF 28N 89W 9 21 X X 30
APALACHICOLA FL X 4 6 2 12 GULF 28N 91W 1 13 2 1 17
PANAMA CITY FL X 6 7 2 15 GULF 28N 93W X 1 3 1 5
PENSACOLA FL X 14 7 1 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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