Hurricane HILARY

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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
1500Z TUE AUG 23 2005

...COR TO ADD 12 FT SEAS... 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 115.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 325SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 115.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 114.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.3N 118.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.5N 123.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 24.0N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 24.0N 133.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 115.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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