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Tropical Storm HILARY


ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
2100Z SAT AUG 20 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 103.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 103.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 102.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.8N 105.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.4N 107.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.1N 110.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 112.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 103.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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