Hurricane FERNANDA

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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
0300Z SUN AUG 14 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 128.7W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 128.7W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 128.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 129.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.4N 131.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.9N 133.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 134.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N 138.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 128.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
 
 
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