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Hurricane PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
1500Z TUE SEP 20 2005
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.1W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.1W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.7N  57.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.9N  58.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 35.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 40.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  57.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
 
 
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