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Tropical Storm PHILIPPE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
0300Z SUN SEP 18 2005
 
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DEPRESSION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  55.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 15NE  25SE  25SW  15NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  55.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  55.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.9N  55.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.8N  56.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.0N  57.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.1N  58.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  55.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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