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Hurricane OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0300Z SAT SEP 17 2005
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF WESTPORT
MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS FROM WESTPORT TO CAPE
COD TO PLYMOUTH...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA
FROM YARMOUTH EASTWARD TO LUNENBURG. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
HAS BEEN EXPANDED AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TRURO WESTWARD TO NORTH
OF YARMOUTH...AND FROM EAST OF LUNENBURG EASTWARD TO SHEET HARBOUR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  72.2W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  72.2W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  72.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 40.0N  70.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.5N  65.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.5N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 48.7N  53.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.2N  38.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 55.0N  22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 61.0N   9.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N  72.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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