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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z TUE SEP 13 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO CAPE HATTERAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE NOW
IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.1W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.1W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  78.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.3N  77.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 34.3N  77.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 35.2N  76.1W...INLAND/PAMLICO SOUND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.7N  74.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 37.8N  70.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N  62.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 48.5N  49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  78.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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