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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM...CCA
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17  CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
1500Z SAT SEP 10 2005
 
...TO CORRECT WIND RADII IN THE NW QUADRANT...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  76.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  65SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  76.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  76.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 32.0N  76.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.2N  76.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 32.3N  77.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.5N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 35.0N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 37.6N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N  76.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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