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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0300Z SAT SEP 10 2005
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  77.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  77.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  77.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 31.0N  76.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.2N  76.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 31.5N  77.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.7N  77.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 32.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 33.5N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 35.5N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N  77.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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