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Tropical Storm OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
1500Z THU SEP 08 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  79.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE  50SE  50SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  79.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  79.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 28.7N  79.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N  79.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.5N  78.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 31.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 30.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N  79.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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