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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL CCA
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM...CORRECTION
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
1500Z TUE SEP 06 2005

...CORRECTION TO ADD BIMINI IN THE WARNING SECTION

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER NORTHWARD TO
TITUSVILLE INCLUDING MERRITT ISLAND...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA...
THE ABACOS AND BIMINI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  78.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  78.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  78.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.6N  79.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.0N  79.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 29.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  78.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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