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Tropical Depression TWELVE


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
2100Z TUE AUG 23 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL WARNING STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  75.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  75.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  75.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 25.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.7N  78.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.3N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  75.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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