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Hurricane EMILY


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
0300Z MON JUL 18 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO
CAMPECHE...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.  A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO EARLY MONDAY.
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  86.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  40SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  86.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  85.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N  88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  15SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  25SE  15SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.3N  91.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  40SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.3N  94.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  40SE  40SW 100NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  75SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.1N  96.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  40SE  40SW 100NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  75SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 102.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  86.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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