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Tropical Depression THREE


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032005
1500Z MON JUL 04 2005
 
INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  89.2W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  89.2W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  88.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.9N  90.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  25SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.7N  93.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  25SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.5N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N  93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.0N  92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N  89.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  89.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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