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Hurricane JAVIER

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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT SAT SEP 18 2004
 
...JAVIER WEAKENS BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.
 
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST OR
ABOUT  110 MILES... 175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.
 
JAVIER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...115 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.  DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIKELY ON THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE CYCLONE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...23.5 N...113.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN/LAWRENCE
 
 
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