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Hurricane JAVIER

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HURRICANE JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT FRI SEP 17 2004
 
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA
MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ENGENIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH
OF PUNTA ENGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.

AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JAVIER WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT 160
MILES...260 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
JAVIER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TOMORROW.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JAVIER IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.  DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIKELY ON THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCATION WITH
THE CYCLONE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...22.5N...112.4W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE
 
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