Hurricane CHARLEY

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HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.5N  81.5W      49  X  X  X 49   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X 26 26
23.2N  82.5W       2 34  X  X 36   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 24 24
26.0N  82.5W       X 10 19  1 30   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 21 21
MKJP 179N 768W    59  X  X  X 59   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 18 18
MKJS 185N 779W    65  X  X  X 65   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 12 12
MWCG 193N 814W    51  X  X  X 51   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
MUCM 214N 779W     2  X  X  X  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W    23  9  X  X 32   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W    26 14  X  X 40   KEY WEST FL        X 26  4  1 31
MUHA 230N 824W     3 34  X  X 37   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 10 17  1 28
MUAN 219N 850W     1 17  1  X 19   FT MYERS FL        X  5 21  3 29
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  1  2   VENICE FL          X  2 23  5 30
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  1  2   TAMPA FL           X  X 21  8 29
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  6  7 13   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X 12 16 28
MARATHON FL        X 21  5  X 26   ST MARKS FL        X  X  3 20 23
MIAMI FL           X  6 13  2 21   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  4 16 20
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2 14  5 21   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  2 15 17
FT PIERCE FL       X  1 13  9 23   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X 13 12 25   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  9 18 27   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  8 13 21
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3 24 27   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  8  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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