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Hurricane FRANCES

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0300Z TUE SEP 07 2004
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DICONTINUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO ST. MARKS.
COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS
SUBSIDE.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  84.6W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 175SE 175SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  84.6W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  84.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 32.3N  84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 33.7N  85.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 35.0N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 37.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 41.5N  79.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...MERGED WITH FRONT
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  84.6W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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