Tropical Storm NICHOLAS
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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON OCT 20 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST THU OCT 23 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.6N 51.8W 40 X X X 40 22.2N 53.3W 3 12 4 2 21
20.7N 52.7W 19 4 1 1 25
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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