Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 20 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU OCT 23 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  48.9W      41  X  X  X 41   20.4N  50.9W       4 13  3  2 22
19.4N  49.9W      20  3  1  1 25
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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