Tropical Storm NICHOLAS
ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED OCT 22 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.4N 48.4W 42 X X X 42 20.2N 50.0W 14 5 2 2 23
19.3N 49.2W 26 1 1 X 28
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
NNNN