Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT OCT 18 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE OCT 21 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.9N  48.8W      99  X  X  X 99   19.4N  49.9W      16  4  2  2 24
18.5N  49.3W      31  1  X  X 32
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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