Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU OCT 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN OCT 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.9N  47.8W      43  X  X  X 43   17.5N  49.1W      14  6  1  2 23
16.7N  48.3W      28  1  X  1 30
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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