Tropical Depression NINETEEN
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST FRI OCT 17 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
11.9N 43.6W 64 X X X 64 13.3N 44.8W 24 8 1 X 33
12.6N 44.3W 41 1 X X 42
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
C FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
D FROM 8AM THU TO 8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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