Hurricane JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 30 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
42.5N  64.5W      24  6  X  X 30   MONCTON NB         1 21  X  X 22
48.0N  63.0W       X 13  X  X 13   YARMOUTH NS       15 11  X  X 26
NANTUCKET MA       2  X  X  X  2   HALIFAX NS         3 20  X  X 23
HYANNIS MA         1  1  X  X  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  9  X  X  9
PORTLAND ME        2  2  X  X  4   SYDNEY NS          X  9  X  X  9
BAR HARBOR ME      7  9  X  X 16   EDDY POINT NS      X 14  X  X 14
EASTPORT ME        7 15  X  X 22   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  4  X  X  4
ST JOHN NB         4 19  X  X 23   BURGEO NFLD        X  2  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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