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Hurricane JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 27 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE SEP 30 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
40.5N  64.5W      26  2  X  X 28   ST JOHN NB         X 15  6  X 21
44.5N  64.0W       X 15  6  X 21   MONCTON NB         X  9 11  X 20
52.0N  61.0W       X  X  8  X  8   YARMOUTH NS        3 17  2  X 22
PROVIDENCE RI      1  1  X  X  2   HALIFAX NS         X 14  7  X 21
NANTUCKET MA       3  3  X  X  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  4  7  X 11
HYANNIS MA         2  4  X  X  6   SYDNEY NS          X  1 11  X 12
BOSTON MA          1  4  X  X  5   EDDY POINT NS      X  4 11  X 15
PORTLAND ME        1  8  X  X  9   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X 10  X 10
BAR HARBOR ME      2 13  2  X 17   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  7  X  7
EASTPORT ME        1 15  4  X 20   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  4  X  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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