Tropical Storm JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON SEP 29 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.3N  62.6W      34  X  X  X 34   EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  9 10
36.3N  63.3W       8 13  1  X 22   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X 10 10
38.4N  63.8W       X  9  6  2 17   MONCTON NB         X  X  X 10 10
BERMUDA           23  1  X  X 24   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2 10 12
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X 11 11
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  4  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  9  9
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  2  5  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  7  7
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  4  5  9   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  9  9
HYANNIS MA         X  X  3  6  9   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  5  5
BOSTON MA          X  X  2  5  7   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  4  4
PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  7  8   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  3  3
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  9 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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