Tropical Storm JUAN
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TROPICAL STORM JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.7N 62.5W 32 1 X X 33 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 8 8
35.6N 63.1W 6 14 1 1 22 EASTPORT ME X X X 8 8
37.6N 63.5W X 7 7 3 17 ST JOHN NB X X X 7 7
BERMUDA 25 X X X 25 MONCTON NB X X X 6 6
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 3 3 YARMOUTH NS X X X 9 9
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 4 5 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7
PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 5 6 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 6 6
NANTUCKET MA X X 2 6 8 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3
HYANNIS MA X X 1 7 8 EDDY POINT NS X X X 5 5
BOSTON MA X X 1 5 6 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2
PORTLAND ME X X X 7 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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