Tropical Depression FIFTEEN
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.0N 61.0W 31 X X 1 32 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 5 5
33.5N 61.5W 17 3 1 1 22 EASTPORT ME X X X 5 5
35.0N 62.0W 8 6 3 1 18 ST JOHN NB X X X 5 5
BERMUDA 2 8 3 2 15 MONCTON NB X X X 4 4
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2 YARMOUTH NS X X X 6 6
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3 HALIFAX NS X X X 6 6
NANTUCKET MA X X X 4 4 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 5 5
HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3
BOSTON MA X X X 3 3 EDDY POINT NS X X X 4 4
PORTLAND ME X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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