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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP 17 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.2N  70.6W      45  X  X  X 45   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 12 12
27.6N  71.4W      21  8  1  X 30   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 15 15
28.9N  72.1W       2 20  2  1 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 16 16
MYSM 241N 745W     X  1  1  X  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 12 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  9  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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