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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 16 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.7N  66.2W      57  X  X  X 57   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  8  9
24.4N  68.0W      16 21  X  X 37   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4
25.2N  69.4W       X 24  4  X 28   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  4  2  7   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  3  5  8   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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