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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 10 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  2  2   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  2  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  3  3   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  3  3
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  3  3   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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