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Hurricane JUAN

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152003
0900Z SAT SEP 27 2003

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N  62.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N  62.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 36.4N  62.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.9N  63.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 43.0N  63.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 48.7N  62.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 61.0N  57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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