Hurricane JUAN
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HURRICANE JUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152003
1500Z FRI SEP 26 2003
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 62.0W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE 50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 62.0W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 62.0W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.7N 62.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 40.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 50.0N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 62.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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