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Tropical Depression SEVEN

ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2003
 
THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CLOUD PATTERN ON
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES. IT CONSISTS OF A FEW CURVED CLOUD BANDS
BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT DEEP AT THIS TIME. DATA FROM A 
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION IS ESTABLISHED
BUT MAXIMUM WINDS REMAIN ABOUT 25 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CIRCULATION MOVES INLAND AND
WEAKENING BEGINS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ABOUT 11 KNOTS.
THE DEPRESSION LOCATED BETWEEN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS PATTERN
SHOULD PROVIDE A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD STEERING
UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      25/2100Z 30.8N  80.8W    25 KT
 12HR VT     26/0600Z 32.5N  81.4W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     26/1800Z 34.5N  81.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     27/0600Z 36.5N  80.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
 
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