000
AXPZ20 KNHC 110732
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Jun 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

The Remnants of Cristina are centered near 13.2N 89.1W at 
11/0600 UTC, moving northwest at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central 
pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 20 kt with 
gusts to 25 kt. Peak seas are currently 7-8 ft or 2-2.5 m. Nearby
convection includes numerous strong in the Gulf of Tehuantepec
and adjacent areas from 12N to 18N between 92W and 97W. Scattered
to numerous moderate convection is found elsewhere from 12N to
21N between 81W and 92W with the majority concentrated over land.
Recent satellite-derived winds from ASCAT-B and -C, along with 
proxy-visible satellite images, indicate that Cristina no longer has 
a well-defined circulation center and has degenerated into a weak 
surface trough near the coast of El Salvador. The remnants are 
moving toward the northwest near and this general motion is 
expected to continue today. Heavy rainfall associated with the 
remnants of Cristina will impact coastal portions of Central 
America through today. This rainfall may produce life-threatening
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Please read the final HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Cristina NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 1009 mb low pressure over
northern Colombia at 10.5N74W to across the SW Caribbean Sea to
across portions of Panama, Costa Rica and Nicaragua, emerging
offshore in the Pacific near 12N87W to 13.5N91W to 08N105W to
10N140W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from
02N to 06N between 85.5W and 91.5W, and from 05.5N to 11N between
130W and 137W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 03N to 08N between 99W and 116W, and from 06N to 10N
between 119W and 125W. Additional convection is described above
with the Remnants of Cristina.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Broad and elongated troughing extends from offshore Baja
California near 30N122W southwestward to 10N129W, disrupting and
backing off the ridge to the W. Under this pressure pattern 
winds are mainly moderate or weaker across the offshore waters, 
including in the Gulf of California, except local moderate to 
fresh westerly winds near the southern tip of Baja California 
Sur, and just N of there through the gaps into portions of the 
southern Gulf of California, as well as in the Gulf of California
N of 30N. Seas are in the 6-7 ft range across the open waters, 
and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California N of the entrance, 
except 7-9 ft well offshore Baja California Norte mixed with NW 
swell. Winds and seas may be higher in any deep convection off
southern Mexico including the Gulf of Tehuantepec area as
described above in the Special Features section.

For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail across the 
waters of Baja California. Gentle to moderate, locally fresh, SW 
to S winds are expected inside the Gulf of California and near
the tip of Baja California Sur. Gentle to locally moderate NW to
W winds will dominate the waters between Cabo Corrientes and 
Tehunatepec through Fri, then weaken into the weekend. Rough seas
in mixed swells off Baja Norte will linger through today before
decaying.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Please see the Special Features section for details on recently
downgraded Remnants of Cristina.

Otherwise, winds are moderate or weaker across the offshore
waters, except moderate to locally fresh SE winds from offshore
southern Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands. seas are 5-7 ft in
decaying S-SW swell across the offshore waters, locally to 8 ft
near the Remnants of Cristina.

For the forecast, the Remnants of Cristina will dissipate later
this morning. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds and moderate 
seas will prevail across the offshore waters today into the 
weekend, except locally rough seas in new southerly swell near 
the Galapagos Islands later today and tonight. Winds may pulse 
to moderate to locally fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the 
immediate Gulf of Papagayo and near the Gulf of Guayaquil during 
the upcoming weekend into early next week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Broad and elongated troughing extends from offshore Baja
California near 30N122W southwestward to 10N129W, disrupting and
backing off the ridge to the W. Under this pressure pattern 
winds are N-NE at moderate to locally fresh speeds N of 10N and 
W of the troughing. Seas are 6-8 ft in mainly long-period 
southerly swells across these waters, except higher at 7-10 ft 
mixed with northerly swell N of 27N between 119W and 131W. Winds 
elsewhere N of the monsoon trough and E of the elongated 
troughing to the N are gentle,with 6-7 ft seas dominated by the 
southerly swell. Winds are mainly moderate S of the monsoon 
trough with 6-8 ft seas, except slightly lower E of 90W. Some 
active convective clusters are present along portions of the 
monsoon trough as described above.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will loosen W of the
elongated troughing, with winds diminishing there slightly 
today. Winds will then be moderate or weaker across the entire 
open waters, except at least moderate to fresh near transient 
embedded low pressure areas along western portions of the monsoon
trough. Northerly swells mixed with the longer period southerly 
swells with seas of 7-9 ft will linger across the N-central 
waters through the remainder of the week before decaying. 
Otherwise, moderate seas will dominate the open waters, locally 
rough in the S-central waters through the end of the week, as 
well as near any of the embedded monsoon trough lows.
 
$$
Lewitsky