000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280830
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Mar 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: Fresh to near gale force N to 
NE gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse through Mon 
night, except for gale-force northerly winds forecast to commence
shortly through Sun morning, then return briefly Sun night. Seas
will become rough to very rough during the period of gale-force 
winds, peaking around 15 ft by early Sun. Please read the latest 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at 
website 
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08.5N78.5W to 03.5N95W. The ITCZ 
extends from 03.5N95W to 02N114W to 04N124W to beyond 06.5N140W. 
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 03N
to 06N between 84W and 94W, and from 06N to 09N between 138W and
140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event. 

Fresh to near gale-force N winds prevail in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec, along with 5-7 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh 
winds are noted near Punta Eugenia and also near Cabo San Lucas. 
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas are
noted, except locally rough seas well offshore Baja California 
Norte.

For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, moderate to
locally fresh SE-S winds will pulse in the Gulf of California Sun
into Sun night. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds through Wed 
night, pulsing to moderate to fresh near Baja California Norte, 
near Cabo San Lucas, and near Cabo Corrientes at times. Slight to
moderate seas will prevail over the waters away from the Gulf of
Tehuantepec.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE-E winds prevail over the Papagayo region. In 
the Gulf of Panama, moderate N-NE winds are noted. Elsewhere, 
light to gentle winds prevail. Slight to moderate seas dominate
the waters.

For the forecast, in the Gulf of Papagayo, fresh to strong NE 
winds will pulse through early Wed reaching downwind to 92W, 
with moderate to locally rough seas. Moderate to fresh winds will
pulse in the Gulf of Panama with moderate seas through Tue 
night. Rough seas will build well offshore western Guatemala by 
early Sun through Sun night due to a developing Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event. Gentle breezes and slight 
to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through the forecast 
period. Looking ahead, large SW swell will build rough seas from
Ecuador offshore to the Galapagos Islands by mid-week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A complex gale-force low pressure system is NW of the area. 
Outer associated moderate to locally fresh SE-S winds and rough 
seas are near the NW waters close to 30N140W. Rough seas in 
northerly swell are N of 27N between 119W and 129W. Gentle to 
moderate winds and moderate seas are found over the remainder of 
the discussion waters as confirmed by recent ASCAT scatterometer
data and altimeter passes.

For the forecast, associated rough swells over the far NW and 
N-central waters due to the complex low pressure system NW of
the area will linger through early today before subsiding. Rough
seas from a developing gale-force gap wind event in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec will spread SW and impact the waters roughly N of 07N
and E of 106W Sun through Mon. Fresh to strong winds will pulse 
across these waters as well extending downwind from the 
Tehuantepec event. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will 
prevail over the open waters. Moderate seas will prevail 
otherwise into early Sun across the open waters. Rough seas in 
southerly swell may impact the waters S of the Equator mid-week.

$$
Lewitsky