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High Seas Forecast (Tropical Northeast Pacific)


000
FZPN03 KNHC 010904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU OCT 1 2026

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.4N 109.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 01
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M 
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N104W 
TO 22N108W TO 21N111W TO 20N112W TO 15N109W TO 16N105W TO 19N104W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 25N108W TO 25N116W TO 17N119W TO 14N110W 
TO 20N112W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN 
MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 16N98W TO 18N103W TO 10N115W TO 07N114W TO 
08N105W TO 12N99W TO 16N98W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M IN W TO NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.8N 110.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N106W TO 22N112W TO 18N113W 
TO 16N112W TO 15N108W TO 17N106W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 28N119W TO
18N119W TO 13N124W TO 11N116W TO 20N113W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 16N99W TO 
19N104W TO 15N108W TO 10N116W TO 07N107W TO 10N101W TO 
16N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.2N 112.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 390
NM SE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 22N108W TO 23N112W TO 22N114W TO 19N115W TO 16N113W TO 
16N108W TO 22N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 28N115W TO 25N120W TO 13N119W TO 08N113W
TO 08N108W TO 14N98W TO 28N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E NEAR 15.3N 124.6W 1006 MB AT
0900 UTC OCT 01 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 14N121W TO 15N126W TO 14N129W TO
12N129W TO 10N127W TO 11N123W TO 14N121W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NINETEEN-E NEAR 
15.2N 120.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURCN RACHEL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N98W TO 15N98W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...W WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N98W TO 13N98W TO 13N95W TO
14N94W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.WITHIN 25N125W TO 30N120W TO 30N133W TO 21N139W TO 17N135W TO
20N125W TO 25N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N110W TO 00N115W TO 02S119W TO
03.4S119W TO 03.4S107W TO 00N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S115W TO 01S117W TO 02S119W TO
03.4S119W TO 03.4S114W TO 03S114W TO 01S115W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC THU OCT 1...

.HURRICANE RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM
15N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W. 

.T.D. NINETEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 
124W AND 128W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 84W AND 90W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 17N100W...THEN RESUMES W OF RACHEL
NEAR 16N110W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 300 NM
S OF THE TROUGH.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.