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High Seas Forecast (Tropical Northeast Pacific)


386 
FZPN03 KNHC 150845
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU OCT 15 2026

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 12.9N 101.6W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 15
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM
SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 14N99W TO 15N100W TO 15N102W TO 13N103W TO 11N101W TO 
12N99W TO 14N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N99W TO 16N100W TO 15N104W TO 12N104W TO 
10N102W TO 11N99W TO 14N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 
M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 14.2N 102.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 15N99W TO 16N101W TO 15N104W TO 13N104W TO 12N102W TO 
12N101W TO 15N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 13N97W TO 18N102W TO 16N107W TO 12N107W TO 
10N105W TO 09N98W TO 13N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 
M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 16.1N 103.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 
20N105W TO 18N110W TO 13N109W TO 09N103W TO 09N96W TO 16N94W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 
18N101W TO 18N104W TO 17N105W TO 16N105W TO 14N103W TO 15N101W TO
18N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.2N 108.5W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
15 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N108W TO 20N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 
18N109W TO 18N108W TO 19N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 
M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 19N107W TO 20N108W TO 20N110W TO 18N110W
TO 17N108W TO 18N107W TO 19N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.6N 108.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO
19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 19N106W TO 21N107W TO 20N110W TO 18N110W TO
17N108W TO 18N106W TO 19N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 21.3N 110.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 15 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 21.5N110W TO 22N110.5W TO 22N111W TO 21.5N111.5W TO 
21.5N110.5W TO 21N110.5W TO 21.5N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 22N110W TO 22N111W TO 22N112W TO
20N112W TO 20N110W TO 21N110W TO 22N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 23N115W TO 23N133W TO 25N140W TO 13N140W TO 15N117W TO
18N113W TO 23N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED N AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N116W TO 18N121W TO 20N140W TO 
12N140W TO 09N136W TO 07N123W TO 14N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED N AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N121W TO 17N127W TO 18N140W TO 
08N140W TO 02N134W TO 04N123W TO 15N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED N AND S SWELL.

.WITHIN 00N102W TO 04N111W TO 02N127W TO 00N132W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S99W TO 00N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N102W TO 08N112W TO 00N125W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S92W TO 07N102W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N96W TO 13N115W TO 00N126W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S85W TO 07N96W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW
SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 29N114W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 29N114W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0845 UTC THU OCT 15...

.HURRICANE TRUDY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO
16N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W. 

.T.S. SIMON...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 
109W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N83W TO 11N92W. IT RESUMES FROM NEAR 
10N103W TO 03N114W. ITCZ FROM 03N114W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N TO 08N BETWEEN 93W AND 106W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.