242 
AXNT20 KNHC 222209
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Apr 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2130 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Senegal 
near 14N16.5W then curves southwestward to 02.5N33W. ITCZ 
continues southwestward from 02.5N33W to 01N38W to 07N56W and then
to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Numerous moderate scattered 
strong convection is noted south of the monsoon trough from 00N to
07N between 09W and 25W. Scattered moderate convection is seen 
near and up to 150 nm within the ITCZ west of 46W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

The remnants of the recent cold front can be seen in satellite
imagery this evening, in the form of a shearline, extending from
offshore the NW coast of Cuba near 23N84W to 24N89W to 27N94W.
Midday satellite scatterometer wind data showed convergent fresh
to strong E to SE winds to the northeast of this boundary, that 
continue to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms within 200
nm NE of the shearline, and extend inland across the coasts of 
Louisiana and southeast Texas. Seas are 5 to 8 ft within these
winds. Otherwise, high pressure across the western Atlantic
extends a ridge southwestward over the Gulf. Gentle to moderate 
SE to S winds with 3 to 5 ft prevail across the W and SW Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh winds and rough seas along and just NE of
the shearline will gradually diminish tonight in the southeastern
and central Gulf. High pressure will then build across the Gulf 
region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient expected across 
the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds basin-
wide Thu through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The tail-end of an old cold front has become stationary across the
N and NW coast of Hispaniola, and is producing scattered showers 
across eastern Cuba, along the north coast of Hispaniola, and
across interior Jamaica. Farther west, a surface trough is 
bringing patchy showers in the northwestern basin. Moderate to 
locally fresh ENE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail in the lee 
of Cuba and through  the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate ENE
to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail across the remainder of the
Caribbean Sea, except seas to 5 ft along the NW coast of Colombia.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE winds are expected 
through the Windward Passage and southwest of Cuba through 
tonight as a late-season cold front stalls across eastern Cuba and
the N coast of Hispaniola along about 20N, then dissipates Thu. 
The Atlantic high pressure located north of the basin will weaken 
over the next couple of days and support a weaker than usual 
pressure gradient over the Caribbean Sea into the weekend. This 
will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to 
moderate seas across the entire basin Fri through Sun.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

An Atlantic cold front enters the area waters near 31N53W and
extends southwestward to 21N67W, then has become stationary to the
NW coast of Haiti. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms 
are occurring up to 300 nm E of the front, to the N of 25N, and
within 90 nm southeast of this feature elsewhere. Further south, 
a surface trough is causing scattered showers east of the northern
Leeward Islands. Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds and 7 to 11
ft seas prevail N of the cold front, except gentle to moderate 
winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft off northeastern Florida to 75W. To 
the east of the front, moderate S to SW winds and 4 to 6 ft seas 
dominate north of 25N between 44W and cold front. For the 
remainder of the Atlantic west of 36W, gentle with locally 
moderate ENE to E winds and 4 to 5 ft seas exist. N of 20N and E
of 36W, N swell is producing seas of 7 to 12 ft, with new large N
swell poised to enter those waters and reinforce seas tonight and
Thu. 

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and 
rough seas will follow the front as it moves eastward through 
tonight, and stalls along about 20N to the north of Puerto Rico
and Hispaniola. Conditions will gradually improve late this week 
as the front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over the SE waters.
High pressure in the wake of the front will weaken over the next 
couple of days, bringing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow 
with slight to moderate seas through the weekend, with the 
exception of the NE waters where fresh westerly winds and rough 
seas are expected as a cold front clips the area on Sat.

$$
Stripling