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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 5 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that a low pressure system 
located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, 
Mexico is still somewhat elongated, and the system is only producing 
limited shower activity at this time.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the 
next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, 
just offshore the coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form during the next 
couple of days well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula.  Some slow development of this system is 
possible thereafter while it meanders over the open eastern Pacific 
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart