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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Carlos, located over 1800 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad 
trough of low pressure.  A low-pressure system is expected to 
develop along this trough within the next couple of days as a 
tropical wave moves westward across the area.  Environmental 
conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this 
system later this week, and a tropical depression could form by this 
weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart/Beven