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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


500 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about
1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
Peninsula is associated with a weak area of low pressure.  Any
development of this system is expected to be slow to occur during
the next couple of days while it moves westward at around 15 mph.
After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane
season, which will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for
the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are
15, 8, and 4, respectively.

The list of names for 2016 is as follows:

Name           Pronunciation    Name            Pronunciation
Agatha         A-guh-thuh       Madeline        MAD-eh-luhn
Blas           blahs            Newton          NOO-tuhn
Celia          SEEL-yuh         Orlene          or-LEEN
Darby          DAR-bee          Paine           payne
Estelle        eh-STELL         Roslyn          RAWZ-luhn
Frank          frank            Seymour         SEE-mor
Georgette      jor-JET          Tina            TEE-nuh
Howard         HOW-urd          Virgil          VUR-jill
Ivette         ee-VET           Winifred        WIN-ih-fred
Javier         hahv-YAIR        Xavier          ZAY-vee-ur
Kay            kay              Yolanda         yo-LAHN-da
Lester         LESS-tur         Zeke            zeek

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days.  The issuance
times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT.  After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4
AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings.  It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package.  Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5.

All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued.  Information about our east
Pacific Twitter feed is available at

Forecaster Brennan

List of Atlantic Outlooks (May 2023 - present)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (May 2023 - present)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (May 2023 - present)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2019 - April 2023)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)