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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Olaf, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms, extending
from Central America westward to several hundred miles south of
southeastern Mexico, is associated with a broad area of low
pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the early or middle part of next week while
the low moves generally northwestward.  Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are likely over portions of Central America and
southeastern Mexico during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Forecaster Beven