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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific (EP96):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are associated with a trough of low 
pressure.  Gradual development of this system is anticipated during 
the next couple days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by 
early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward well off 
the coast of Mexico.  By early Tuesday, the disturbance is expected 
to reach cooler water, ending its opportunity for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles offshore of 
southwestern Mexico late next week. Some gradual development of this 
system is possible thereafter while it moves generally 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Hagen