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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 11 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Cosme, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several
hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a
broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while it moves
generally west-northwestward just offshore the southwestern coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend
or early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Gibbs/Kelly